Uncertain Futures of Post-Brexit Pensions

One topic hardly mentioned during the last three years of Brexit negotiations is indeed among the most consequential—pensions. This is paradoxical because older British voters, who were more in favour of Brexit than other age groups, are likely to suffer most, as Brexit drives British social policy towards market liberalism and reshapes financialisation in the UK and indirectly across Europe, with considerable implications for pensions and inequality in old age. Bernhard Ebbinghaus discusses three paradoxical implications of Brexit on pension policy in the UK and Europe in a chapter in Whither Social Rights in (Post-) Brexit Europe? Opportunities and Challenges.

Ebbinghaus, Bernhard (2020) “Uncertain Futures of Post-Brexit Pensions: Three Paradoxical Implications”, Matthew Donoghue & Mikko Kuisma (eds.), Whither Social Rights in (Post-) Brexit Europe? Opportunities and Challenges, Berlin: Friedrich Ebert Stiftung (Social Europe), 69-76.

Oxford Supertracker: directory of Covid-19 policy trackers

The Oxford COVID-19 ‘Supertracker’ is an online platform established to help policy-makers around the world to navigate the policy responses to tackling the pandemic, and its aftermath around the world. 

Numerous organisations have produced trackers to allow policy-makers and stakeholders to follow and evaluate policy changes and their impact on the pandemic in the UK, Europe and across the world. The Oxford ‘Supertracker’ project makes this information freely available with one tool, allowing users to search and identify international policy.

What started out in March as a Twitter thread by DPhil student Lukas Lehner has evolved into a new global directory compiling over 100 data sources. Within a few weeks, thousands of researchers from over 100 countries around the globe visited the first iteration of the website, making use of the directory and contributing to the growing number of entries. The project is led by Dr Marek Naczyk, with the involvement of Professor Mary Daly, Professor Bernhard Ebbinghaus, Lukas Lehner and Dr Tim Vlandas.

This novel collection is designed to assist researchers and policy-makers in keeping track of a rapidly growing number of data sources. Compiling policy trackers and surveys, the tool allows users to search by: policy area e.g. ‘education policy’ or ‘social and economic policy’; country coverage; data format; and, author. In addition, the data summary can be downloaded as a CSV for offline analysis. 

The Oxford Supertracker tool is freely available online: supertracker.spi.ox.ac.uk

Multiple Hidden Risks for Older People: The Looming Pension Crisis Following this Pandemic

Journal of European Social Policy (JESP) Blog, 04/30/2020, by Bernhard Ebbinghaus, https://t.co/YZwYYcOZsy?amp=1
  • Every fourth person in Europe receives an old age, survivor or disability pension benefit, an automatic stabilizer during this crisis
  • Public pay-as-you go pension will soon come under severe pressure due to fiscal pressures accelerated during this pandemic
  • Private funded pensions with their additional risks, were hit hard after the 2008 crash and will again increase inequalities in old age in coming years
  • Older people transitioning from work to retirement will face immediate difficulties that need to be addressed

Household joblessness in Europe during the crisis (2008-14)

In a new article in Socio-Economic Review (SER), Thomas Biegert (LSE, @thomasbiegert) and Bernhard Ebbinghaus (Oxford U., @B_Ebbinghaus) analyse whether the individual job loss since the Great Recession was absorbed or accumulated in households. They use EU-SILC data for 30 European countries and shift-share analysis to decompose the change in absolute HH non-employment from 2008 up to 2014 and attribute it to the change in individual non-employment, the change in HH sizes, and the change in polarization. In almost all countries the increase in household non-employment since the crisis was exacerbated by rising polarization (i.e. unequal distribution of job-loss) and decreasing HH sizes. Particularly households in many crisis countries, especially in Southern Europe, were hit by such job-loss. This is surprising because we would have expected that in countries with traditional family models and limited welfare support households would absorb the impact of job-loss.

Biegert, Thomas, and Bernhard Ebbinghaus. 2020. “Accumulation or Absorption? Changing Disparities of Household Non-employment in Europe During the Great Recession.” published online (14 February 2020) in Socio-Economic Review (doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwaa003). An open access preprint is also available on SocArXiv (https://osf.io/huxbj/). See also Social Europe blog: “Households failed to absorb massive job loss during economic crisis”, Social Europe (www.socialeurope.eu, blog, 26/3/2020).

How pension systems reproduce inequalities and poverty in old age in Europe

Professor Bernhard Ebbinghaus presented his comparative analysis on reproducing inequalities and poverty risks in old age pension income across Europe at the Finnish Centre for Pensions in Helsinki as part of their ETK Research seminar on Pension reforms, non-standard work and life course inequalities in the OECD.

There has been much discussion recently of pension sustainability, in the face of demographic ageing. But there has been relatively little exploration of whether retirement income is enough for people’s basic needs – and there is growing evidence of an increase in old age poverty in many European countries.

Different pensions systems are in use across Europe – some are not always capable of effectively reducing poverty despite the explicit goal to do so, and some are better suited to reduce poverty. Professor Ebbinghaus’ research finds that the elderly are more at risk of poverty than the working population. The exceptions are some Nordic pension systems such as Finland, a few central European countries as well as the Dutch multipillar system. Overall there is still considerable variation across Europe in the reproduction of income inequality, and poverty risks from working lives into old age retirement income, particularly for social risk groups such as those with non-standard working lives.

Find out how he answered the underlying question: ‘Do you think pension systems should even out the inequalities of labour market?’ in this short YouTube interview.

To find out more:

Ebbinghaus, Bernhard, Kenneth Nelson, & Rense Nieuwenhuis (2019). “Poverty in Old Age” LIS Working Paper Series, No. 777. http://www.lisdatacenter.org/wps/liswps/777.pdf

New online article on the role of organized interest in pension financialisation

Recent reforms have responded to demographic ageing and fiscal challenges by shifting toward the multipillarisation of pensions to achieve financial sustainability. Reforms towards privatization and marketization of retirement income provision occurred in Britain and Germany with different pension system legacies. While public opinion supports largely the status quo, the stakeholders, in particular, organized capital and labour, have evolved in their positions towards pension reforms. The analysis seeks to draw out how organized interests have sought to influence mulitipillarisation but also adapted their strategies in the context of increasing financialisation in the two political economies. The position of trade unions, employers’ associations, social advocacy groups and the finance sector has increasingly embraced multipillarisation, earlier and more so in Britain than in Germany. A reversal of pension financialisation seems no longer possible but the inequalities and uncertainties need to be addressed in order to make multipillarisation politically sustainable.

Bernhard Ebbinghaus (2019) “Multipillarisation remodelled: the role of interest organizations in British and German pension reforms”, Journal of European Public Policy, online preprint, DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2019.1574875

“Altersvorsorge” Artikel in WSI-Mitteilungen

Privatisierung und Vermarktlichung der Altersvorsorge: Eingetrübte Aussichten des deutschen Mehrsäulenmodells

WSI-Mitteilungen 6/2018, S. 468-475

Innerhalb von 70 Jahren hat die deutsche Alterssicherung einen Paradigmenwechsel vom Bismarck’schen Modell der umlagefinanzierten Rentenversicherung zum liberalen Mehrsäulenmodell vollzogen. Unter den gegebenen fiskalischen Restriktionen und angesichts zukünftiger demografischer Alterung wurde das Ziel einer lebensstandardsichernden Rente auf staatliche und private Säulen verlagert. Die freiwillige kapitalgedeckte Riester-Rente kann die zukünftige Rentenlücke nur unzureichend schließen. Zudem hat die jüngste Finanzmarktkrise auch die Grenzen einer kapitalgedeckten Altersvorsorge aufgezeigt. Und nicht zuletzt bedarf auch die betriebliche Altersvorsorge einer tarifpolitischen Weiterentwicklung, um zukunftsfähig zu sein. Die bisherigen Reformen wappnen nur ungenügend gegen die Risiken steigender Altersarmut in einer flexibleren Arbeitsgesellschaft. Eine bessere Mindestsicherung in der Rentenversicherung und eine breitere Deckung der Zusatzversorgung sind unabdingbar, um eine sozial und politisch nachhaltige Altersversorgung zu erreichen. 


Trade Unions in Western Europe Handbook now online

Trade Unions in Western Europe

As part of the Handbook Series “The Societies of Europe”, the volume Trade Unions in Western Europe since 1945 by Bernhard Ebbinghaus and Jelle Visser has become a major source for scholars studying the history of postwar trade unionism in Western Europe with over 800 google scholar citations today. This 800 page handbook maps the variations in union organization and membership in fifteen Western European economies. Its  country chapters provide introductory profiles, chronologies, cross-sectional and time-series tables, as well as comparative indicators on union density and organizational patterns of major trade unions and their confederations. Initially published as a handbook by Macmillan in 2000, the introductory, comparative and country chapters are now available as part of Palgrave History Collection with Springer Link.




Visiting Mercator Fellow at University of Mannheim


Professor Bernhard Ebbinghaus has been awarded a Mercator Fellowship for  cooperative research at the University of Mannheim by the Mercator Foundation and German Research Foundation (DFG).  Over the next four years (2018-21) Prof Ebbinghaus will cooperate with Prof Katja Möhring and Dr Elias Naumann in the research project A6 “Welfare State Reform Support from Below” in the Collaborative Research Centre (SFB 884) Political Economy of Reform at University of Mannheim. Prof Ebbinghaus had been Principal Investigator for the project A6 during the first two periods of the SFB 884 (2010-17), the main results were published in a volume edited by Ebbinghaus and Naumann “Welfare State Reforms Seen from Below” with Palgrave Macmillan/Springer in 2018.